Politics · Congress
Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
Order book
Rules
Arizona: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Arizona before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Colorado: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Colorado before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Illinois: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Illinois before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indiana: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Indiana before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kansas: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Kansas before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Maryland: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Maryland before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Minnesota: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Minnesota before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mississippi: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Mississippi before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Missouri: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Missouri before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
New Jersey: If a new congressional district map is enacted in New Jersey before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
New York: If a new congressional district map is enacted in New York before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Oregon: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Oregon before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pennsylvania: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Pennsylvania before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
South Carolina: If a new congressional district map is enacted in South Carolina before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Virginia: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Virginia before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Washington: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Washington before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wisconsin: If a new congressional district map is enacted in Wisconsin before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law. A new congressional district map is a statewide map of U.S. House districts, different from the state's current map, that becomes law after Issuance, whether adopted by the legislature or by another body with legal authority to draw the state's map, such as an independent commission. A map becomes law on final passage and the governor's signature, becoming law without a signature, or a veto override, or for a body that needs no executive approval, on final adoption; it counts then, even if it takes effect later or a referendum petition suspends it.
A map that takes effect only upon approval of a statewide ballot measure counts once the measure is approved, according to official returns or the Associated Press
A remedial map that the legislature passes because a court ordered it counts
A court ruling, injunction, stay, referendum, repeal, or replacement after a map counts does not change the outcome
The following do NOT count:
A map drawn or imposed by a court or special master
A map that became law before Issuance
A constitutional amendment or other measure that allows redistricting but does not itself adopt a map
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:30:58 UTC
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Event starts2026-11-09 21:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2028-11-07 04:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Nov 7, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXREDISTRICTLAW-28) and then move with trading here.
Which states will pass a new congressional map before the 2028 election?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
