Politics · International
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
Order book
Rules
G7: If the United States completely withdraws from G7 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
G20: If the United States completely withdraws from G20 before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
United Nations: If the United States completely withdraws from United Nations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
World Trade Organization: If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Monetary Fund: If the United States completely withdraws from International Monetary Fund before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
World Bank Group: If the United States completely withdraws from World Bank Group before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
OECD: If the United States completely withdraws from OECD before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Interpol: If the United States completely withdraws from Interpol before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
International Atomic Energy Agency: If the United States completely withdraws from International Atomic Energy Agency before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Inter-American Development Bank: If the United States completely withdraws from Inter-American Development Bank before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:32:50 UTC
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Event starts2025-02-18 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-20 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 20, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXWITHDRAW-29) and then move with trading here.
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
