Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?

Order book

Rules

If the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this Contract, the United States recognizes Reza Pahlavi when the government of the United States takes official action acknowledging Reza Pahlavi specifically as the rightful or legitimate leader of Iran. Recognition must be explicit regarding Reza Pahlavi as an individual, not merely recognition of Iran as a state or recognition of whatever government happens to be in power.

Timeline

Market opened

2026-11-10 19:33:23 UTC
Event starts

2026-01-08 15:00:00 UTC
Market closes

2027-01-01 04:59:00 UTC
Payout

Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXRECOGPERSONIRAN-26) and then move with trading here.