Politics · Trump
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
Order book
Rules
Before Nov 21, 2026: If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Nov 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jan 1, 2027: If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Apr 1, 2027: If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Before Jul 1, 2027: If Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pete Hegseth is impeached when the U.S. House of Representatives adopts at least one article of impeachment against him; a Senate trial or conviction is not required.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 19:58:42 UTC
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Event starts2026-10-12 20:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-07-01 03:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jul 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXHEGSETHIMPEACH-27JUL01) and then move with trading here.
Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
