Politics · Iran
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
Order book
Rules
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:06:28 UTC
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Event starts2026-03-01 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-03-01 14:59:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01) and then move with trading here.
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
