Politics · Iran

Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?

$345,249 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:06:28 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-03-01 15:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-03-01 14:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

2026 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01) and then move with trading here.