Politics · Iran
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
Order book
Rules
If Reza Pahlavi has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:06:42 UTC
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Event starts2026-01-08 19:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2027-01-01 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
Before Jan 1, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXPAHLAVIVISITA) and then move with trading here.
Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
