Politics · NYC

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

$64 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Above 15,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 15,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 20,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 20,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 25,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 25,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 30,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 30,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 35,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 35,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 40,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 40,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 45,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 45,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 50,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 50,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Above 55,000: If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 55,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the FY2027 value of HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the first public version of the Fiscal 2027 Mayor’s Management Report; the Preliminary Mayor’s Management Report, separate housing announcements, combined totals including NYCHA PACT units, and subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:08:23 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-07-28 22:30:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2027-09-17 13:59:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXNYCAFFORDABLE-27JUN30) and then move with trading here.