Politics · SCOTUS & Courts

Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?

$1,166 vol
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Rules

If a bill expanding the Supreme Court has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying bill is legislation that would increase the number of Justices of the Supreme Court above nine. Only Justices who hear the Court's appellate cases count, so a term-limits or staggered-appointment bill qualifies if it would at any time have more than nine Justices hearing the Court's appellate cases; Justices in senior status, or who hear only original-jurisdiction cases, do not count. Legislation that changes only the Court's jurisdiction, procedures, ethics rules or term limits, adds seats to lower courts, or proposes a constitutional amendment fixing the Court's size does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying increase. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:15:28 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-11-05 03:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2028-01-01 05:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Jan 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSCOTUSEXPANDHOUSE-26NOV) and then move with trading here.