Politics · SCOTUS & Courts

Will the House pass Supreme Court term limits?

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Rules

If a bill or constitutional amendment imposing term limits on Supreme Court justices has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying measure is legislation that would impose a fixed term or a maximum length of service on justices of the Supreme Court, such as an 18-year term followed by senior status or retirement. It may apply to future appointees only. A joint resolution proposing a constitutional amendment qualifies, and it passes the House only if it receives the two-thirds vote required to propose an amendment. Legislation limited to ethics, recusal, or the size of the Court does NOT qualify. The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains qualifying term limits. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage, enactment and ratification do NOT count.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:15:37 UTC
  • Event starts
    2026-11-05 03:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2028-01-01 05:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Jan 1, 2028 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSCOTUSTERMHOUSE-26NOV) and then move with trading here.