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Politics · SCOTUS & Courts

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

$278,334 vol
OutcomeChanceBuy

Order book

Rules

Before Oct 1, 2026: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before 2027: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Before June 2027: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Before 2028: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Before Jan 21, 2029: If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline

  • Market opened
    2026-11-10 20:16:16 UTC
  • Event starts
    2025-12-09 23:00:00 UTC
  • Market closes
    2029-01-21 15:00:00 UTC
  • Payout
    Winning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed

About

Before Jan 21, 2029 Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31) and then move with trading here.