Politics · SCOTUS & Courts
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Order book
Rules
Sonia Sotomayor: If Sonia Sotomayor resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Clarence Thomas: If Clarence Thomas resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Samuel Alito: If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
John Roberts: If John Roberts resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Elena Kagan: If Elena Kagan resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Neil Gorsuch: If Neil Gorsuch resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Brett Kavanaugh: If Brett Kavanaugh resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Amy Coney Barrett: If Amy Coney Barrett resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Ketanji Brown Jackson: If Ketanji Brown Jackson resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
Timeline
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Market opened2026-11-10 20:18:31 UTC
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Event starts2024-12-21 15:00:00 UTC
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Market closes2029-01-20 15:00:00 UTC
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PayoutWinning contracts pay $1.00 each once the result is confirmed
About
During Trump's term Prices follow the matching market on Kalshi (KXSCOTUSRESIGN-29) and then move with trading here.
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
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Each contract pays $1.00 if your side is right. Prices are the market's odds: 62¢ ≈ 62% chance.
Taker fee: 7.00% × P × (1 − P) per contract, rounded up.
