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Elections

Senate

Senate

Mississippi Senate winner?

Scott Colom99% Cindy Hyde-Smith1%

$42,174,677 volume · Closes Nov 3, 2027

In 2026. If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Mississippi for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Senate

Alaska Senate winner?

Democratic party99% Republican party1%

$39,458,575 volume · Closes Nov 3, 2027

In 2026. If a representative of the Republican party is sworn in as a Senator of Alaska for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Senate

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Mississippi94% Alaska5% Minnesota1% New Hampshire1%

$3,490,677 volume · Closes Jan 3, 2027

Before Jan 3, 2027. If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 88% Yes No

Chris Van Hollen 11% Yes No

John Thune 2% Yes No

$734,488 vol +4 more · Closes Jan 3, 2028

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep 97% Yes No

Republican Governor, Democratic Senator 4% Yes No

Democratic Governor, Republican Senator 3% Yes No

$187,621 vol +1 more · Closes Nov 3, 2027

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House 85% Yes No

Independent wins House; Democrats win Governor & Senate 6% Yes No

Republicans win House & Senate; Democrat wins Governor 4% Yes No

$70,382 vol +9 more · Closes Nov 3, 2027

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?

Before Apr 1, 2028 65% Yes No

Before Jan 1, 2028 44% Yes No

Before Jul 1, 2027 30% Yes No

$45,491 vol Closes Apr 1, 2028

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Lula, Eizenkot, Democrats 51% Yes No

Lula, Netanyahu, Democrats 9% Yes No

Lula, Bennett, Democrats 2% Yes No

$34,851 vol Closes Oct 27, 2027

Arizona Senate winner? (2028)

Democratic party 71% Yes No

Republican party 29% Yes No

$23,375 vol Closes Nov 7, 2029

Alaska Senate election: number of rounds

1 76% Yes No

3 22% Yes No

2 15% Yes No

$22,009 vol Closes Feb 1, 2027

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

Alaska US Senate 99% Yes No

Texas US Senate 2% Yes No

$7,150 vol Closes Dec 7, 2026

Alaska Senate winner? (2028)

Republican party 71% Yes No

Democratic party 24% Yes No

$7,083 vol Closes Nov 7, 2029

California Senate winner? (2028)

Democratic party 92% Yes No

Republican party 8% Yes No

$3,753 vol Closes Nov 7, 2029

Australian Senate election winner?

Australian Labor Party 70% Yes No

Liberal-National Coalition 13% Yes No

One Nation 5% Yes No

$1,975 vol +1 more · Closes May 20, 2029

Arkansas Senate winner? (2028)

Republican party 89% Yes No

Democratic party 10% Yes No

$1,639 vol Closes Nov 7, 2029

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

Texas US Senate 91% Yes No

Maine US Senate 6% Yes No

$904 vol Closes Dec 7, 2026

Alabama Senate winner? (2028)

Republican party 94% Yes No

Democratic party 6% Yes No

$496 vol Closes Nov 7, 2029

Who will be elected Brazil's Senate President?

Davi Alcolumbre 61% Yes No

Rogério Marinho 20% Yes No

Tereza Cristina 14% Yes No

$80 vol Closes Feb 1, 2028