Politics

Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 202948% Before Jan 1, 202838% Before Oct 1, 202732% Before Jul 1, 202726%

$6,147,041 volume · Closes Jan 20, 2029

Before Jan 20, 2029. If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?

2% chance

$2,241,604 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027. If Reza Pahlavi has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

2% chance

$2,048,468 volume · Closes Jan 1, 2027

Before 2027. If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.