Elections

House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 24998% Below 2101% 210-2131% 214-2171%

$11,189,805 volume · Closes Feb 1, 2027

On Feb 1, 2027. If the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

House

Alaska House winner?

Nick Begich III84% Bill Hill18% Eric Hafner1%

$676,053 volume · Closes Nov 3, 2027

In 2026. If a member of the Democratic party is sworn in for AK-AL for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

House

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

At least 25898% At least 2628% At least 2782% At least 2661%

$311,826 volume · Closes Jan 3, 2027

of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls

House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 211 99% Yes No

Above 214 99% Yes No

Above 217 99% Yes No

$170,953 vol +20 more · Closes Feb 1, 2027

House

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Directional)

Democrats, ≥2% 99% Yes No

Democrats, ≥4% 99% Yes No

Democrats, ≥5% 99% Yes No

$168,037 vol +16 more · Closes Feb 3, 2027

House

120th Congress: Who will be elected Speaker of the House?

Hakeem Jeffries 97% Yes No

Katherine Clark 2% Yes No

Steve Scalise 2% Yes No

$122,372 vol +6 more · Closes Jan 3, 2028

House

Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person)

Nick Begich III 71% Yes No

Bill Hill 16% Yes No

Gavin Solomon 1% Yes No

$75,872 vol +4 more · Closes Nov 3, 2027

House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

At least 185 96% Yes No

At least 190 96% Yes No

At least 195 96% Yes No

$20,107 vol +15 more · Closes Feb 1, 2029

House

Australian House election winner?

Australian Labor Party 52% Yes No

Liberal-National Coalition 38% Yes No

One Nation 7% Yes No

$17,498 vol +1 more · Closes Sep 30, 2029

House

2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?

D+3 to D+4.9 13% Yes No

D+5 to D+6.9 13% Yes No

D+7 or more 3% Yes No

$10,323 vol +6 more · Closes Mar 1, 2027

House

How many House Democrats will lose reelection in 2026?

9 or more 50% Yes No

10 or more 50% Yes No

11 or more 50% Yes No

$155 vol +7 more · Closes Dec 31, 2026

House

Closest House race in 2026?

MI-04 99% Yes No

MI-07 99% Yes No

CO-03 99% Yes No

$13 vol +31 more · Closes Jan 3, 2027

House

90th Legislature: Who will be elected Texas House Speaker?

Senfronia Thompson 90% Yes No

Dustin Burrows 3% Yes No

Joe Moody 3% Yes No

$10 vol +1 more · Closes Jan 12, 2028