Economics

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2026?

2.1% to 2.5%76% 1.6% to 2.0%10% 2.6% to 3.0%8% 0.1% to 0.5%2%

$460,583 volume · Closes Feb 28, 2027

2026. If the United States real GDP growth in 2026 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

GDP

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

32% chance

$183,033 volume · Closes Jan 26, 2029

During the Trump Presidency. If any quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 has GDP growth of above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2036?

1.6% to 2.0%55% 2.1% to 2.5%11% 1.1% to 1.5%6% 0.0% or Below4%

$158,459 volume · Closes Dec 31, 2037

2036. If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2035?

5.1% to 5.5% 45% Yes No

0.0% or Below 38% Yes No

2.6% to 3.0% 36% Yes No

$157,309 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2036

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2033?

1.6% to 2.0% 53% Yes No

1.1% to 1.5% 46% Yes No

0.1% to 0.5% 42% Yes No

$156,964 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2034

GDP

China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

20%

chance

Yes —No —

$133,684 vol Closes Jan 1, 2030

GDP

US real GDP growth in Q1 2027?

Above 0.0% 91% Yes No

Above 0.5% 85% Yes No

Above 1.0% 77% Yes No

$95,287 vol +6 more · Closes Apr 29, 2027

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2032?

5.1% to 5.5% 46% Yes No

1.1% to 1.5% 41% Yes No

3.6% to 4.0% 40% Yes No

$79,122 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2033

GDP

US share of global GDP in 2026

Above 25.1% 99% Yes No

Above 25.2% 99% Yes No

Above 25.3% 97% Yes No

$65,879 vol +8 more · Closes Jul 1, 2027

GDP

US real GDP growth in Q4 2026?

Above 0.0% 96% Yes No

Above 0.5% 96% Yes No

Above 1.0% 93% Yes No

$64,585 vol +6 more · Closes Jan 28, 2027

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2028?

6.1% or Above 39% Yes No

1.6% to 2.0% 11% Yes No

0.0% or Below 9% Yes No

$43,931 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2029

GDP

US Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $29.8 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $30.0 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $30.4 trillion 99% Yes No

$40,138 vol +18 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2030?

2.6% to 3.0% 17% Yes No

2.1% to 2.5% 14% Yes No

1.6% to 2.0% 13% Yes No

$39,857 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2031

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2034?

0.0% or Below 16% Yes No

2.1% to 2.5% 15% Yes No

2.6% to 3.0% 14% Yes No

$30,515 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2035

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2027?

2.6% to 3.0% 15% Yes No

2.1% to 2.5% 13% Yes No

1.6% to 2.0% 12% Yes No

$30,303 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2028

GDP

Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

16%

chance

Yes —No —

$28,184 vol Closes Jun 30, 2029

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2029?

2.1% to 2.5% 18% Yes No

2.6% to 3.0% 11% Yes No

3.6% to 4.0% 9% Yes No

$26,937 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 28, 2030

GDP

US real GDP growth in 2031?

2.1% to 2.5% 14% Yes No

0.0% or Below 11% Yes No

2.6% to 3.0% 10% Yes No

$23,621 vol +11 more · Closes Feb 29, 2032

GDP

France Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $3.2 trillion 98% Yes No

Above $3.4 trillion 96% Yes No

Above $3.3 trillion 87% Yes No

$19,604 vol +11 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Australia Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $1.6 trillion 98% Yes No

Above $1.7 trillion 94% Yes No

Above $1.8 trillion 93% Yes No

$16,476 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

US real GDP growth in Q2 2027?

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 90% Yes No

Above 1.0% 82% Yes No

$15,693 vol +6 more · Closes Jul 29, 2027

GDP

South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026

Above -0.4% 92% Yes No

Above -0.2% 83% Yes No

Above 0.0% 75% Yes No

$15,487 vol +6 more · Closes Dec 1, 2026

GDP

UK Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $3.4 trillion 98% Yes No

Above $3.5 trillion 98% Yes No

Above $3.6 trillion 98% Yes No

$13,031 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Germany Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $5.1 trillion 97% Yes No

Above $4.9 trillion 96% Yes No

Above $4.7 trillion 95% Yes No

$12,144 vol +7 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

India Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $4.0 trillion 79% Yes No

Above $3.9 trillion 50% Yes No

Above $4.2 trillion 50% Yes No

$11,181 vol +8 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

China Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $19.2 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $20.0 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $20.4 trillion 99% Yes No

$10,639 vol +13 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Mexico Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $1.6 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $1.7 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $2.0 trillion 96% Yes No

$10,137 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Japan Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $4.2 trillion 96% Yes No

Above $4.0 trillion 91% Yes No

Above $4.1 trillion 86% Yes No

$9,194 vol +12 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Russia Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $2.2 trillion 97% Yes No

Above $2.3 trillion 97% Yes No

Above $2.4 trillion 96% Yes No

$6,796 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Canada Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $2.3 trillion 97% Yes No

Above $2.1 trillion 93% Yes No

Above $2.4 trillion 93% Yes No

$5,691 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Brazil Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $2.1 trillion 99% Yes No

Above $2.2 trillion 96% Yes No

Above $2.4 trillion 96% Yes No

$4,994 vol +9 more · Closes Apr 1, 2027

GDP

Brazil GDP growth YoY in Q3 2026

Above 1.0% 44% Yes No

Above 1.1% 37% Yes No

Above 1.2% 34% Yes No

$3,994 vol +11 more · Closes Dec 2, 2026

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2026

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 95% Yes No

Above 1.0% 95% Yes No

$2,270 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2027

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2036

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$605 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2037

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2035

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$244 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2036

GDP

Brazil GDP growth in Q4 2026 (YoY)

Above 0.5% 90% Yes No

Above 1.0% 83% Yes No

Above 1.5% 68% Yes No

$215 vol +4 more · Closes Mar 2, 2027

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2029

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 93% Yes No

$57 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2030

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2034

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$40 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2035

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2028

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 93% Yes No

$14 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2029

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2027

Above 0.0% 96% Yes No

Above 0.5% 95% Yes No

Above 1.0% 95% Yes No

$6 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2028

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2033

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$0 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2034

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2032

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 93% Yes No

$0 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2033

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2031

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$0 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2032

GDP

US nominal GDP growth in 2030

Above 0.0% 95% Yes No

Above 0.5% 94% Yes No

Above 1.0% 92% Yes No

$0 vol +10 more · Closes Jan 28, 2031